CDAC Hears School Construction Update

August 13, 2010

At its August 11 meeting the Capital Debt Affordability Committee (CDAC) heard an update on school construction from Dr. David Lever, Executive Director of the Interagency Committee on School Construction.  Dr. Lever stated that for the last three fiscal years, Public School Construction Program requests have declined, from a high of $893.8 million in FY 2008 to $729.1 million in FY 2011.  He noted that while enrollment growth has declined in most jurisdictions, the need to fund renovation and replacement projects has not.  He maintained that while substantial progress has been made by State and county governments to correct the school facility deficiencies identified in the final report of the Task Force to Study Public School Facilities, there is still a large gap between available funding and needs that still must be addressed.

Instead, Dr. Lever attributed the decline in requests to:  (1) the impact of the economic downturn on the availability of local funds; and (2) continuing low construction costs.  He noted that counties, especially smaller and less wealthy  jurisdictions, have deferred several major projects that were approved for planning in FY 2009 or earlier due to fiscal constraints.  He also explained that construction costs continue to remain low, with many contractors who do not normally handle work in Maryland submitting bids.  Some bids are 25-30% below the budgets that were established in CY 2008 or earlier.  He did caution, however, that material prices may increase between 6 and 8% by the end of CY 2010.

Dr. Lever also discussed the Aging Schools Program, which provides counties with money from the State operating funds to address repairs and renovations that cannot always be funded through general obligation bonds in the capital budget.  He noted that for FY 2012, the Department of Budget and Management plans on allocating $6.1 million in operating funds, leaving the remainder of the mandated funding level to be filled with $4.2 million in bond proceeds.  While expressing a preference for operating funds, Dr. Lever noted that there were sufficient projects to make use of the bond money.

Finally, Dr. Lever mentioned the Qualified Zone Academy Bond (QZAB) Program.  QZABs provide funding to address small to mid-sized renovation and repair projects in schools that have more than a 35% Free and Reduced Price Meal Program population.  A private entity (non-government) must provide a match equal to 10% of the construction cost, although the contribution may be in the form of cash, equipment, or in-kind donations of time and effort.  Under the American Reinvestment and Recovery Tax Act, Maryland received a 2009 QZAB authorization of  $15.9 million.  In order to sell these State tax-credit bonds, the General Assembly must approve the sale in the 2011 Session.


State Budget $300M Ahead For FY 2011

August 6, 2010

According to recent reports, the Maryland State Budget will close out FY 2011 (the period ending a few weeks ago on June 30, 2010) with a surplus of some $300 million. The overage is due primarily to revenues exceeding expected levels, even while the Maryland and national economy remains fairly sluggish. From the Baltimore Business Journal’s coverage:

State officials expect to find a $300 million surplus when they close the state’s fiscal 2010 budget later this month.

The gain is the result of higher-than-expected tax revenue in the final months of the fiscal year, which ended June 30. The state based its spending during that period on estimates calculated in March, cutting costs to meet those levels. Cuts included furloughs and layoffs for some state employees as well as trims to state agencies’ budgets.

But the revenue expectations were exceeded, said Shaun Adamec, spokesman for Gov. Martin O’Malley. The state had been expecting $12.2 billion in tax revenue but may end up with as much as $12.5 billion.

The surplus could become a campaign talking point, as both O’Malley and challenger former Gov. Robert Ehrlich have criticized the other candidate for his spending and tax policies.

It’s not clear yet which state taxes contributed to the revenue growth. Joseph Shapiro, spokesman for Comptroller Peter Franchot, confirmed there is an expected surplus “in the ballpark” of $300 million. But more detailed budget numbers won’t be available until state accountants close the books on fiscal 2010 in the next two weeks, Shapiro said.


National Trend: Pay Cuts for Public Employees

August 5, 2010

In the New York Times this week, a published report discussed the advent of pay cuts as an increasingly common strategy for cash-strapped state and local governments to effect cost savings. From the article:

Local and state governments, as well as some companies, are squeezing their employees to work the same amount for less money in cost-saving measures that are often described as a last-ditch effort to avoid layoffs.

A new report on Tuesday showed a slight dip in overall wages and salaries in June, caused partly by employees working fewer hours.

Pay cuts are appearing most frequently among state and local governments, which are under extraordinary budget pressures and have often already tried furloughs, i.e., docking pay in exchange for time off. Warning that they will have to lay off people otherwise, many governors and mayors are pressing public employee unions to accept a reduction in salary of a few percentage points, without getting days off in exchange.


Federal Medicaid Support May Be Back On Track

August 5, 2010

Yesterday, the United States Senate passed legislation to extend the federal Medicaid support established under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (Stimulus), causing House of Representative leadership to contemplate a recall of house members for a vote in the coming weeks, during a previously scheduled recess. This development is substantial for Maryland State government, as the State’s FY 2011 budget relies on $389 million in federal support for Medicaid that, without such federal action, would (by State law passed this year) require a draw-down of the Local Income Tax Reserve Fund.

From the Washington Post coverage of the federal legislation:

An emergency plan to save the jobs of tens of thousands of public school teachers and other government workers overcame a key Senate hurdle Wednesday, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she would summon lawmakers back from their August break to finish work on the measure.

Two Republicans crossed party lines to advance the $26 billion package, handing President Obama a victory in his campaign to bolster the shaky economy. With many governors struggling to close gaping budget deficits, administration officials feared a fresh round of state layoffs or tax increases could knock the nation’s wobbly recovery off-course.

The aid package would not entirely close those budget gaps. Hampered by election-year anxiety over the mounting national debt, congressional Democrats were forced to slash Obama’s original request for state aid nearly in half and come up with a plan to pay for it. Meanwhile, lawmakers in both parties signaled that the measure probably marks the end for spending bills aimed at boosting economic activity.

See also coverage from the Baltimore Business Journal.


Maryland GO Bond Sale Yields $485 Million

July 29, 2010

As reported by a July 28 Daily Record article, the Board of Public works approved the sale of $485 million worth of general obligation (GO) bonds.

Maryland sold $485 million in bonds on Wednesday to pay for the construction of capital projects, like schools and prisons, across the state.

The state Treasurer’s Office sold $143 million with an interest rate of 1.6 percent through a direct retail sale, with priority given to Maryland residents. The balance, $342 million, was sold through a competitive bidding process. …

“I was really pleased with today’s results,” [State Treasurer Nancy] Kopp said. “Again, Maryland’s [triple-A] rated bonds drew significant interest — and a very low interest rate.”

Kopp noted 60 percent of the bond proceeds would go to schools, colleges and universities.

The sale represents the second and final GO bond sale for this year.  The projected size of the First Series 2011 sale is also $485 million, to be sold in late February.


New Report Finds Maryland on Track for Economic Recovery

July 28, 2010

As reported by Megan Poinski for MarylandReporter, a new national report by the National Conference of State Legislators finds that Maryland’s revenues are ahead of projections for fiscal 2010 and that Maryland is one of the “more promising examples of economic recovery.”  However, she also reports that Maryland is still facing a budget gap due to federal stimulus funds running out.

Maryland’s revenues are running ahead of projections across the board for fiscal 2010, according to a report released this week by the National Conference of State Legislatures, looking at the budgets in all 50 states. Revenues from personal income tax, corporate income tax, and sales tax are all more than were estimated back when the 2010 budget was drawn up and debated, and the report touts this as a piece of good news.

The good news, however, is misleading. Warren Deschenaux, director of the Legislature’s Office of Policy Analysis, said that back when the FY 2010 budget was being considered, a 5% across-the-board decrease in revenues was projected.

“It looks like we only declined about 3%, so we’re ahead of the estimate,” Deschenaux said. “If you look at the year as a whole, we are still taking in less than the year before.”

The report also takes a look at each state’s projected budget gaps for the next several fiscal years. According to the report, Maryland is expected to have a $2.4 billion budget gap for fiscal 2011, which just started, $1.8 billion in 2012 and $1.6 billion in 2013. Deschenaux said most of the gap will be the result of federal stimulus funds running out.


State Budget Gaps Continue as Nationwide Problem

July 27, 2010

Today’s coverage on Stateline.org reaffirms that the sluggish national economy continues to drive budget challenges in most states. From the article:

Still, the report paints a picture that is far from rosy, particularly as the federal stimulus program winds down. In the fiscal 2011 budgets they’ve already enacted, the states are projecting that budget gaps of more than $12 billion may open up. Looking ahead to 2012, they’re projecting collective deficits of $72 billion. “States really do have few concrete plans to deal with the end of the federal stimulus,” says Corina Eckl, NCSL’s director of fiscal affairs.

The article relies on data from the National Conference of State Legislatures, which is currently holding a conference featuring an “audit” of state government finances.


Gazette Columnist Criticizes County Highway User Cuts

July 26, 2010

In a July 23 opinion piece, Gazette columnist Barry Rascovar criticizes the General Assembly, Governor Martin O’Malley, and former Governor Bob Ehrlich for “raiding” the State’s transportation funds in order to balance the budget, including the highway user revenue cuts to the counties.  He also discusses the impact the transportation cuts will have on both State and local projects. 

Some $400 million was stripped from county governments and Baltimore city so state legislators could crow about closing a yawning budget gap without raising taxes.

Even worse, state lawmakers then passed a law shifting a huge chunk of the state’s highway user revenues from the counties permanently. …

All told, highway user revenues to the counties were cut an incredible 96 percent. Money that counties depend on to keep their roads in good shape and fill potholes was yanked from their pockets. …

Maryland’s road quality already ranks 37th in the nation. Maryland drivers pay an extra $425 in vehicle costs due to rough roads, according to the U.S. Public Interest Research Group Education Fund.

Imagine Maryland’s ranking after the highway revenue heist fully kicks in. It won’t be pretty.


CDAC Reviews Size and Condition of Tax Supported Debt

July 26, 2010

At its July 19 meeting, the Capital Debt Affordability Committee (CDAC) reviewed the size and condition of the State’s tax supported debt.  Maryland continues to enjoy favorable bond terms due to its continued AAA rating by all three major bond rating agencies – Moody’s, Standard and  Poor’s, and Fitch.  Only seven other states also have a AAA rating:  Delaware, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, Missouri, Utah, and Iowa.  Moody’s has recently expressed concern about Maryland’s debt level being too high, but Fitch has classified Maryland’s debt level as moderate, while Standard and Poor’s has classified our debt level as low.

From FY 2006 through FY 2010, Maryland has issued $5.0 billion General Obligation Bonds, including $3.6 billion in tax-exempt bonds, $508 million in Build America Bonds, $65 million in taxable bonds, $20 million in Qualified Zone Academy Bonds (QZABs), $864 million in Refunding Bonds, and $50 million in Qualified School Construction bonds.    The total General Obligation Debt Outstanding as of June 30, 2010 is $6.52 billion.  Additional authorized but unissued debt is $2.39 billion.

In order to stay within its debt affordability criteria, CDAC noted that in future years the amount of general obligation bonds issued will need to be reduced or else some form of general fund support or tax increase will be needed to sustain the current levels.  CDAC noted its staff presentation that “[t]here are multiple authorization levels and patterns that would result in adherence to the affordability benchmarks.”  Comptroller Peter Franchot expressed concern about the State’s increasing debt.

For FY 2010, the Maryland Department of Transportation has $1.65 billion outstanding for Consolidated Transportation Bonds (the legislative debt ceiling is $2.6 billion).  The Maryland Transportation Authority currently has issued $750 million in Grant Anticipation Revenue Vehicles (GARVEE) Bonds, with $651.8 million debt outstanding as of June 30, 2010.

The Maryland Stadium Authority has $261.9 million in outstanding debt for FY 2010.  The Authority is trying to remove itself from several variable debt deals, including with AIG Financial.  The rating houses typically view variable rate debt as a negative.

CDAC also received an update on the status of the Bay Restoration Revenue Bonds.  Proceeds from the bonds help pay for nitrogen-removal upgrades at 67 targeted wastewater treatment plants.  Revenue from the Chesapeake Bay Restoration Fee, which is charged to households on public sewer or that have a septic system, support the debt service of the bonds.  There is an estimated funding shortfall of $550 million and the Maryland Department of the Environment is considering increasing the fee as one option to cover the shortfall.

July 22 Conduit Street post on options to address Bay Restoration Fund revenue shortfall


Dealing With the FY 2012 Structural Deficit

July 23, 2010

In an opinion piece, Laslo Boyd, for the Gazette, writes about the projected $1.5 billion structural deficit for FY 2012.

The pattern for quite a number of years has been for the governor and General Assembly to pass, as required by the Maryland Constitution, a balanced budget for the following year, but with the realization that there was a built-in deficit facing the state in the subsequent year. The approved budget always has included a surplus, but never enough to fully cover the out-year shortfall. This situation is the very essence of a structural deficit.